A persent History of Ian Rosmarin

Its the Age of Stupid, well its not the end of the world or mankind just the end of a civilization

The age of stupid http://www.ageofstupid.net/ which I not yet seen which is an four year in the making by director Franny Armstrong may very well be one of the most intelligent documentary done this decade. However before I have even seen it I can see it is not 100% right for example mankind is not heading towards extinction true between 4 to 8 billion in a world of 9 billion may died. It is true the present human civilization may be about to collapse this century but there will be people around to pick up the pieces. The fact is that many scientists and a growing number now think that global temperatures will go up by 2 degree in the near future and most think 5 to 6 degrees cannot be stopped. The fact is it may very well be that whatever we did now might not save this civilization. I am not saying we shouldn’t do anything at all for example I believe the law should be changed so wind farms can be built anywhere that they are needed however I am also aware that in order to produce our energy needs we would also need a lot more nuclear power. When you see how Green groups feel towards nuclear waste that would be very difficult to do. In my own opinion we need if we are to have any hope of saving this society to have the equivalent of the Manhattan project for fusion power. The other problem with the documentary was that it advocates a direct action unfortunately we know in this country that direct action is extremely ineffective it could not even stop the Iraq war. In fact it is about as effective as stopping the new runway for Heathrow Airport. I got news for the Green groups if stop the building of one Airport the result will be a new one either in the River Thames like London Mayor Boris Johnson has suggested or a new airport in mainland Europe! I know trains should take more air passages but the fact is they have their limits ever been by train to New York? Green groups should not be targeting the airports they should be targeting the airplane makers but of course they never will as they never targeted the rigth people. Other targets the Greens have gone after are genetically modified cropswhich could feed millions in the developing world. If we are in the age of Stupid then its a age with many faces from zombielike people who go to cults too the old women who spend their days watching what A to Z of reality stars are doing once their out of the Big Brother house! or even going to the next Michael Jackson show in the O2 (talk about bad taste maybe Gary Glinter should have a comeback!).

So if we can’t save this civilization what would be the result if you read Volume 201 of the New Scientist http://www.newscientist.com dated the 28th of February 2009 you would surely get a good idea. By 2099 it says the equator large dry areas which would be unliveable huge areas of land flooded. The good news for anyone living like me in Britain would be we would escape the worse unlike many of the southern European states. The world however would be a very different place most of southern India would be unliveable. Both Pakistan and Afghanistan would be unliveable as drought made them uninhabitable much of Bangladesh would be an abandoned. The same fate would be most of Africa and most of the Americans including anything south of the great lakes or North of the Patagonia (Western Antarctica by then would also be liveable). Both Canada and Northern Eurasia would be inhabitable and it’s quite possible that Russia and other countries with small populations like Greenland and Iceland would be inundated by refugees fleeing China and India. My other guess is that rich counties in the area like some Arab states, Israel and some Asia states would use technology to survive the new climate. The result as James Lovelock the writer of Gaia said was that our species would have a great cull this century. I think people living in more remote but habitable countries like Canada, Britain, Australia and New Zealand would not allow refugees into their borders once the population reached a certain number. I suspect and I hope I am wrong that we could end up with a form of global government as people mixed more than in any time in their history were remote islands refused to take refugees these places become a kind of global gated commuity) which would refuse to join the new goverment. My other suspicion is that democracy would not survive this era in Britain (I could even see a Britain with a seige mentaity taking over weaker states which are near by) and other places which are still liveable could end up controlled by the Army. If you look at islands off the coast of China, India, Africa you could see a governer ordering the local army to shot anyone coming to the coast. Its not hard seeing Britain, Canada, New Zealand and Australia having solders and sails really to shot anyone. In Britain if all the goverments in mainland Europe had fallen and there was near or even there was civil war I could see the army doing things that make my blood boil like blowing the channel tunnel. In Canada its likly that 100s of millions of Americans and Latin Americans would end up at the border living in conditions like in Gaza today. Many other Americans would end up in Alaska which then would be the bread basket of America. Many others would I guess try stay south but by then much of America would have drought. Technlogy could save many but it would by then be a hash lifestyle. In a world of boraders death will become more commion cities will be abandoned to be found by people centuries from now. It seems to me in 3 or 4 centuries those people and their great grand childern may very well want to leave this ruined world for the stars.

With much of the world uninhabitable and with the odds being unstoppable I think it’s time to give some good news. Every time a human civilization has died no matter how great a new one has replaced it that is how the West replaced the Romans (if they had not what would the world be like today? better or worse?) this is how the world goes on everything with a start has an end that is history. What I hope people reading this understand is that all they need to do is to survive the death of this Goble civilization if they can. If we could save it we should but the fact is that it is unlikly we can save it, I know the Scientists who know this I also know the sides on both sides of the climate debate but they are both wrong. The fact is Scientsts know that it is too late they just do not want to tell the world. Its wrong not to say it is happening as many people do but it is also wrong to say that this is the end of the world and mankind. The fact is we are at the end of a era started in the 1500s as time is going by it looks certain that we are in a age of spin may Scientist don’t want to tell the Greens the facts that they themselves cannot face. Someone with my training in both law and science has say that it may very well be too late too save the world we know it may very well be time to get really to live in a brave new world in a centuries time.

Age of Stupid, air travel; River Thames, Boris, Britain, Canada, Climate change, Earth, Earth 2099, Gaia, Globe civilization, Ian Rosmarin, James lovelock, New Scientist, New World, New Zealand, nuclear, Space travel, world

Right over the next few weeks this blog is moving (and the posts are moving there but your still be able to read old ones here!). The address is http://www.ians-world.com/blog/ hope everthing's ok welcome to Ian's World the Magzine. There be a number of new writers (5 have signed up 20 are joining) so I hope your there too see the new website!

What to do with Pakistan?

When is a state not a state that is surly by now a question of these times, we so far had states, failed states, virtual states, terrorist states and drug states. Some states are recognized and in reality many are not. In my opinion there are even some states that have ceased to exist in almost every single meaning of the word just the governmentshave not yet realized it yet like in the case Pakistan.

When I hear the word Pakistan I think of Yugoslavia in the 1990s and both states seem to have a lot in commion. Both are complex mixtures of different ethnic groups with different religious beliefs. But the major difference between them is that Yugoslavia was not a nuclear weapons state. The historic similarities seem to be clear pakistan a lost cause even if the army takes back control of the state in time if still needs to give control back to civil goverment. The problem is that everything about Pakistan is divided unlike India which is united with its Hindu culture that does not seem to be any think unifying Pakistan anymore, one commentator said yesterday Urdu and cricket united the country. After the attack on the Sri Lanka cricket team the country now and he has one thing uniting it a common language And if you look at the country itself to even areas where that is not true as well.

With all the problems in Afghanistan along the tribal belt surnly by now it is dawning on the west by now a radical solution is needed. If it was me I divide the country into two the East and the West, in the East I keep the a rump of Pakistan the rest I would guess including Balochistan (which would in my view best be put under UN Trustship) the rest of the West of Pakistan I would put under NATO and my plan would be to make the North West areas part of Afghanistan.

The rump of Pakistan would be made up of Sindh, Punjab and Kashmir the hope would be this would stop Pakistan's nuclear weapons getting into the wrong hands. The smaller state . The plan would for this state which would be to try and stop it from just being like Russia after the USSR or Turky after the Ottoman Empire. The West would have to invest a huge amounts of money but this smaller state should be more stable then what it is now and like Russa and Turky it would be a good idea to give it a new name. Of course the cost of the project will be similar to the cost of rebuilding both Germany and Japan after world war two and in addition like with the latter their will need to be major structural changes to the societies in the region. We need to get rid off politically ambitious religious leaders and we need to find a way to separate the church from state a bit like Turkey after world war one but unlike Turkey we are going to need to find a way of not of just persecuting religion for religion's sake but bringing under control the ideologies.

However I would be lying if I said the solution was only in Southern Asia its also in another area of world the Middle East for years Saudi Arabia and other goverments have been funding Madrasahs where many of the religious fundamentalists have been produced. So also is probably needed to is a recognition in the West that we need to force these societies to changebecause I'm now of the opinion that till we do more bomb attacks could could happen.

My feeling is as a Wester is something needs to be done we now have in South East Asia a state that seems to be failling and becoming a non functioning entity. they have a president held up in his ivory tower, an army that's proving to be impotent. Most of the country seems be run by people who seem to be as bad as the Islamic fundamentalists who most peopele like myself in the wish hope are captured soon.

I think I should say I never step foot in South Asia in my life I Jewish and I a rank outsider, I know that in Eastern Pakistan that their is a history of religious tolerance and my instinct are that in the West we need to help it, but I must stress thats what I think from a distance I could be wrong!

PS what to do with Pakistan will be finished in the next few days! PS glad I in Britain see whats happening in American!

Over the next few months we will be changing to the magzine formate with a new website Ians-world.com. In the mean time U-Tube will be used in the next few weeks on the website below is an example (not made by me or the team who will be joining me soon)of one of the hard hiting subjects in this case climate change! Enjoy!